potential snowstorm for NJ/PA right before xmas!? :(

Discussion in 'General' started by Boson-H, Dec 12, 2012.

  1. #1 Boson-H, Dec 12, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 12, 2012
    shit the GFS 12z 204 hr fc looks pretty good for jersey, philly, massachusetts, etc...it's something to watch...any other weather watchers on here? 540 is typically the r/s line, and nj to ma are well below that. guess it kinda depends on how warm the atlantic ocean is too since thats where that damn low pressure system stays...if we could get it to track a bit closer to the coast...

    edit: apparently this isnt the right image, hang on -_-
    [​IMG]
     
  2. #2 ghostonvacation, Dec 12, 2012
    still gonna be hot in the streets
     
  3. #3 BakedPenguins, Dec 12, 2012
    Yup I have no clue what the fuck I'm looking at. But a white christmas sounds good to me
     
  4. #4 ptownroll, Dec 12, 2012
    The block is hot
     
  5. #5 Boson-H, Dec 12, 2012
    lookin better and better for the NE. looks like the GFS has a decent storm cookin for NJ, philadelphia, nyc etc. a few solid days of snow...
     
  6. #6 Ziggy86, Dec 12, 2012
    Yay GC has a weather man.
     
  7. #7 MIjbr90190, Dec 12, 2012
    I dont see it happening where im at( central pa). Temps are gonna be way too warm
     
  8. #8 Boson-H, Dec 12, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Dec 12, 2012
    it def might just be a chilly rain. hard to tell at this point, GFS and Euro dont quite agree on the track or timing quite yet, but the GFS has the low pressure system dragging a lot of the colder air locked up in canada down to us. weather we get a good snowstorm out of this or not it is a sign of pattern change, which is good. its something to watch. might at least be some snow on the backside. but a few models are even showing 2-4" of snow as far south as central NC. we'll see.

    temps aint lookin TOO bad at the 850mb temps, specially interior PA, ohio virginia west virginia north carolina. bout -4/-5C at 5kft, so warm that up by 3-4C closer to the surface, might JUST be cold enough

    [​IMG]
     
  9. #9 MIjbr90190, Dec 13, 2012
    [quote name='"nuketown"']

    it def might just be a chilly rain. hard to tell at this point, GFS and Euro dont quite agree on the track or timing quite yet, but the GFS has the low pressure system dragging a lot of the colder air locked up in canada down to us. weather we get a good snowstorm out of this or not it is a sign of pattern change, which is good. its something to watch. might at least be some snow on the backside. but a few models are even showing 2-4" of snow as far south as central NC. we'll see.[/quote]
    Its still very possible , which i dont mind. The ground temps are down atleast so it wont cause a slushy mess like our last "storm" we had here. I thought for sure this was gonna be a brutal late fall/winter, but it is early yet.
     
  10. #10 Boson-H, Dec 13, 2012

    there were signs in early/mid november of a very cold but dry early december, but our NAO/AO and PNA values didntline up like they were supposed to. we did get our -NAO/AO back, and its getting stronger. if we could get a +PNA going we'd have a perfect setup. one model is showing ridging in the pacific while the other is showung a trough, so like you said it is early yet.
     

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