Legalization is on the ballot in Maryland, Arkansas, Missouri, North Dakota, and South Dakota this November. Advocates are mostly doing a red state blitz with legalization efforts this election cycle as all of these states, except for Maryland are Republican strongholds. It’s also interesting that medical cannabis is not on the ballot at all in this election cycle, only recreational. What ones do you think will pass and what ones do you expect to fail? My analysis: Maryland is a slam dunk, it’s a Democrat stronghold and support for legalization is red hot there. Nothing more needs to be said. Arkansas is currently engaged in a court battle over the merits of the legalization initiative because a legal challenge claims that it is misleading to voters. As of lately, that’s been the prohibitionists’ newest strategy, sue to get legalization bills invalidated and it actually worked in South Dakota after voters had approved it in the 2020 election. So even if legalization passes in Arkansas, there’s actually no guarantee that it will go into effect because it’s all contingent on the outcome of this legal challenge. But support for the ballot initiative seems to be high as of recent polling, I think it will pass but who knows if it will actually be allowed to take effect. There’s a lot of division over the legalization initiative in Missouri because of claims that it provides for a corporate monopoly of the Missouri cannabis industry, I think its gonna be a very close race there no matter what the outcome is. South Dakota is a tossup to me because available polling from months ago didn’t look too promising, but voters there might be angry about their 2020 decision to legalize being invalidated by the government on the other hand, so that anger and motivation could get it across the finish line. North Dakota seems to have among the lowest level of support for legalization in the whole country and legalization has already been voted down there not too long ago, I predict that legalization falls short again in North Dakota.